Modeling Trend in Foreign Currency Exchange Rate and Future Forecasting in Terms of Pakistani Rupees

Author(s)

Muneeb Ahmad , Yousaf Ali Khan , Prof: Chonghui Jiang , Ghazala Akhtar , Muhammad Masood ,

Download Full PDF Pages: 144-155 | Views: 805 | Downloads: 248 | DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.3702079

Volume 9 - January 2020 (01)

Abstract

The demonstrating monetary pattern in outside cash swapping scale is an exceptionally famous strategy in money and future anticipating of remote monetary standards is a useful method for speculators, merchants and exporters in everywhere throughout the world. Pakistan is a truly reasonable nation for the venture open doors for the financial specialists who need to gain long haul benefits from their speculations. There are numerous open doors for interest in horticultural, industry, and cultivating, lodging and the travel industry areas in Pakistan. Be that as it may, for the fascination of remote financial specialists the future anticipating of Pak-Rupee esteem is fundamental and it is likewise essential to discover answers for the swapping scale strength in the future. Our investigation discovers the rupee's conversion scale esteems in the past and furthermore foresee around thirty days future cash trade rates by utilizing the (Auto-backward Integrated Moving Average) ARIMA model. ARIMA model not just give past qualities first contrast stationary bends and furthermore give future determining conversion scale estimations of remote monetary forms. The three most significant monetary standards Dollar, Pound and Euro are used for future anticipating trade paces of Pak-Rupee.

Keywords

Modeling trends, ARIMA Model, Future Forecasting Trends, Pakistani Rupee, Monetary Finance 

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